Optimal over-installation of wind generation facilities

McInerney, C and Bunn, D W (2016) Optimal over-installation of wind generation facilities. Energy Economics, 61. pp. 87-96. ISSN 0140-9883 OPEN ACCESS


This paper evaluates the economic benefits to over-installing turbines on capacity-constrained wind farm sites in order to capture more energy at low wind speeds. Although this implies curtailment at high wind speeds, we show that over installing generation facilities can increase returns to investors and reduce system costs. A detailed model-based analysis is developed using British data, with variations in the range of over installation, the renewable policy support systems (fixed feed-in tariffs or green certificate premia to wholesale energy prices) and the extent of replacement of fossil generation in the technology mix with wind. In the cases of premia to market prices, we use agent-based, computational learning and risk simulation to model market prices. Not only is over installation beneficial under fixed feed-in tariffs, but is more so under premia to market prices and increasingly so as wind replaces fossil generation.

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Item Type: Article
Subject Areas: Management Science and Operations
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© 2016 Elsevier. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0

Date Deposited: 12 Dec 2016 17:16
Date of first compliant deposit: 30 Nov 2016
Subjects: Investment appraisal
Direct investment
Investment and growth
Renewable energy industry
Last Modified: 18 Jul 2024 01:52
URI: https://lbsresearch.london.edu/id/eprint/589

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