The consumption response to positive and negative income shocks

Bunn, P, Le Roux, J, Reinold, K and Surico, P (2018) The consumption response to positive and negative income shocks. Journal of Monetary Economics, 96. pp. 1-15. ISSN 0304-3932 OPEN ACCESS


A set of newly added questions in the 2011 to 2014 Bank of England/NMG Consulting Survey reveals that British households tend to change their consumption by significantly more in reaction to temporary and unanticipated falls in income than to rises of the same size. Household balance sheet characteristics such as high debt-to-income ratios and small liquidity buffers, concerns about credit market access and higher subjective risk of lower future income account for a sizable share of this spending asymmetry. Our findings have important implications for predicting the response of aggregate consumption to expansionary and contractionary macroeconomic policies.

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Item Type: Article
Subject Areas: Economics
Date Deposited: 30 Nov 2017 13:01
Date of first compliant deposit: 28 Nov 2017
Subjects: Balance sheets
Last Modified: 28 May 2024 01:41

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