Bunn, D W, Lumbreras, S, Ramos, A and Chronopoulos, M (2016) Real options valuation applied to dynamic transmission expansion planning. Quantitative Finance, 16 (2). pp. 231-246. ISSN 1469-7688
Abstract
Transmission expansion planning (TEP) is a complex problem where building a new line involves a long permitting process of around 10 years. Therefore, transmission expansion must anticipate the evolution of uncertainties, particularly those derived from changes in the capacity and location of new generating facilities. As it is not possible to request permits for all possible lines, priorities must be established. We develop a formulation to use real options valuation to evaluate the potential benefit of candidate lines and thereby identify priority projects. We present a feasible representation of optionality in TEP projects and propose a tractable evaluation of option value. The proposed technique identifies the candidate transmission lines with the highest potential, as well as their main value drivers. This is implemented in a realistic large-scale case study based on the Spanish system.
More Details
Item Type: | Article |
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Subject Areas: | Management Science and Operations |
Additional Information: |
© 2016 Taylor & Francis |
Date Deposited: | 30 Aug 2016 17:32 |
Subjects: | Mathematical programming |
Last Modified: | 14 May 2024 00:42 |
URI: | https://lbsresearch.london.edu/id/eprint/548 |